Loading market…
Watches · WatchCharts market price · Dec 31 · San Francisco
Where does the steel Rolex Daytona 126500 land on Dec 31? · 4 markets8%chance
No change since openSeparate pools. Betting one says nothing about the rest.
YES if above $40,000
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
A 22% run from September's $32,889 in three and a half months. WatchCharts put the steel Daytona 126500 at $32,889 on Sep 11, 2026, down from $34,783 in April. Recent listings ran from about $29,650 to $34,795, and white 'Panda' dials trade roughly $6K above black. US retail rose about 2 to 3% in January 2026, to roughly $16.5K to $16.9K.
YES if the 'Market Price' (estimated market value) shown on the WatchCharts overview page for Rolex Cosmograph Daytona 126500 is strictly above $40,000 at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 31, 2026. Use the most recent value WatchCharts displays, even if its 'as of' date is up to 14 days before resolution. If WatchCharts is unreachable, use the median asking price of the 20 lowest-priced new/unworn 126500LN listings (black and white dials combined, US sellers) on Chrono24 at the same time. Anything else is NO.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
No bets yet. Be the first to take a side.
See something wrong? Say so. Disputes reach the admin before a resolution is finalized.
Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
An admin reads the evidence, then finalizes it, overrides it, or voids the market. Nothing pays out without this step, and you can file a dispute before it happens.
3 · Signed attestation
Finalizing signs an EIP-712 attestation over the market, outcome, observed value and evidence hash. Anyone can check that signature in their own browser against our published attester address.
Got a take?
Reading is free. Talking needs an account.
Quiet in here.
Nobody has said anything yet. Take a side, then say why.