Loading market…
Hype Drops · Pokémon TCG · Releases Sep 16 · $49.99 MSRP · San Francisco
45%chance
No change since openYES if above $100
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
The 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box, marking Pokémon's 30th anniversary, releases Sep 16, 2026 at $49.99 MSRP (the Pokémon Center exclusive is $59.99). Before release, TCGplayer resale was reported at just under $178, with Amazon preorders at $89.99. The question is whether the anniversary premium survives a month of retail restocks.
YES if the TCGplayer 'Market Price' for product 704143 (Pokémon ME: 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box, standard retail version) is strictly above $100.00 at 12:00 PM PT on Oct 16, 2026. If Market Price is not displayed, use the median of the 5 most recent completed sales shown on the TCGplayer product page. Fallback is the median of the 10 most recent sealed sold listings on eBay.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
No bets yet — be the first to take a side.
Something look wrong? Disputes reach the admin before a resolution is finalized.
Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
A human reviews the evidence and finalizes, overrides, or voids. Nothing pays out without this step, and you can file a dispute before it happens.
3 · Signed attestation
Finalizing signs an EIP-712 attestation over the market, outcome, observed value and evidence hash. Anyone can verify the signature in their browser against our published attester address.