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Surge · AAA SF metro regular · peak through Dec 31 · San Francisco
How high does SF gas get in 2026? · 4 markets34%chance
No change since openSeparate pools. Betting one says nothing about the rest.
YES if above $6.50/gal
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
44¢ above the September read, still shy of the record. AAA had San Francisco regular at $6.0601 on Sep 11, 2026. A month earlier it was $5.7112 and a year earlier $4.7486. The all-time record is $6.6388, set Jun 13, 2022. Analysts tie the run to renewed fighting in Iran, with jet fuel up about 71%, and some Bay Area stations have already maxed out their pumps at $9.999.
YES if AAA's San Francisco metro average for regular unleaded reads strictly above $6.50 on any day from Sep 12 through Dec 31, 2026 inclusive. The number is the daily 'Current Avg.' for San Francisco on AAA's California page, read once a day and archived by the oracle, and the highest archived reading in that window decides it. A 'Record High' entry on the same page dated on or after Sep 12, 2026 counts too. Anything else is NO.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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