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Surge · AAA SF metro regular · Record $6.6388 (Jun 2022) · San Francisco
30%chance
No change since openYES if above $6.64/gal
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
AAA's San Francisco metro average for regular was $6.0601 on Sep 11, 2026. That is up from $5.7112 a month earlier and $4.7486 a year earlier, and within 58¢ of the all-time record of $6.6388 set Jun 13, 2022. Analysts tie the surge to renewed fighting in Iran, with jet fuel up about 71%. California diesel hit $7.98 on Sep 11, and some Bay Area stations maxed out their pumps at $9.999.
YES if, between Sep 12 and Dec 31, 2026 inclusive, AAA's San Francisco metro average for regular unleaded exceeds $6.6388 on any day. The primary check is the 'Record High' field for San Francisco on AAA's California page at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 31, 2026: YES if the record value is above $6.6388 and its date falls on or after Sep 12, 2026. Daily 'Current Avg.' snapshots archived by the oracle also count. Otherwise NO.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
2 · Admin finalizes
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